http://nancysims.com/cityofhouston/houston-city-elections-district-i/ by Nancy Sims. Parent, Public Relations, Professor, Pundit, Ponderer. Thoughts about my world. Fri, 16 Nov 2018 18:44:38 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=4.1.41 http://nancysims.com/cityofhouston/houston-city-elections-district-i/comment-page-1/#comment-33551 Wed, 25 Sep 2013 04:38:23 +0000 http://nancysims.com/?p=995#comment-33551 My prediction on the outcome of District I is there will be a run off, probably between Mendez and Garces. Mendez will probably get in because he has the money and a well-oiled machine, however, this latest retraction of support by that minister shows that a lot can go wrong between now and Nov 5th. If Proof of those statements come out, he may lose out to Gallegos.
Ablaza is not a strong contender. The District is heavily Dem, and while she goes around lying about her tea-party roots and Republican standing, people know. It doesn’t play well in the east end. Her prior objections to the Dynamo stadium, historic districts, the Harrisburg light rail, and other improvements are starting to haunt her. Most of her money and support is coming from people who don’t live in the district and can’t vote for her. Much of the same can be said for Mendez. Gallegos has Sylvia Garcia campaigning for him, and she will help him get some votes, plus he has a very committed base, just not one across the district. There is usually a low turn out in District I, and Garces has the ties with the groups that are most likely to turn out and actually vote, and especially the more committed voters that will also turn out for a run off election. Neither Ablaza nor Mendez has that. Time will tell.

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